President Obama seems to be pulling away from Mitt Romney in swing state polls. What Romney will do to flip this lead is anybody's guess now, but, whatever it will be, we're excited for it. Here are some more stories we discussed at The Last Word rundown meeting tonight:
- Dueling Ohio events set stage for campaign's home stretch
- Polls point to larger lead for Obama in Ohio and Florida
- In Ohio, Romney says his "heart aches" for jobless
- If he were president, Allen West would have invoked "Angel of Death" in UN speech
- Conservative Tom Tancredo backs legal weed: "Marijuana prohibition has failed us"
- Taibbi: This presidential race should never have been this close
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Krystal Ball cited a Romney/Obama poll today for which the television graphic seen by the audience was reversed with the President's picture next to the Romney results and the Romney picture next to the Obama results. The displayed results of the poll were reversed. Miss Jansing within the last few days reversed the results of a poll and Chris Matthews regularly double talks polls. What's up MSNBC?
In the debates if the President successfully points out Romney mistruths and flip flops, Mitt Romney's political effectiveness could become further eroded. The media is configuring and contriving and calculating and manipulating the magical enigma of the coming debates. They're attempting to roil up interest and build some intensity. They're saying Obama is a weak debater and Romney is a competent debater. They're building up Romney's debate narrative but the truth is that Obama is a very, very good debater, and Romney gained his polish by overcoming Bachman and 999 and Perry and Gingrinch and Paul and so forth. The truth may indeed be that Romney is in for a sound trouncing. In metaphorical reality, Romney is a shallow stream, and Obama is the Mississippi. Obama is real and Romney is a figment. Romney is an illusion, and a ghost. Romney doesn't even know who Romney is, and Obama's the real deal. I like the odds. I'm thinking the Romney camp should bring a white towel, just in case. They better have a good cut man in their corner too, cause' the President just might sprout some tassels on his debatin' shoes, and show us all some Cassius Clay moves. Romney better bring some smellin' salts. Now there's some magical enigma manipulation for ya.' Gobama 2012!
If Obama was so sure of those polls results, he wold be hunkered down today prepping with that gas bag John Kerry he chose to play the part of Romney (why? Cause they are both from Massachusetts? Kerry never had the kind if economy of sharpened words that Romney has, you know?). Instead, he's off to Ohio and Virginia to try to build a solid lead, which may be more difficult as the market begins to turn around from ist false summer low volumn rally extended briefly by the Fed's announcement of Quantitative Easing 3. Not so much seen of that rally in the past 5 sessions now, however, and analyists are suggesting we could be looking at 10% to 20% turndown. And 10% is a correction, but 20% is a Bear Market,
Add in two more Unemployment and employment/labor participation rates reports in early Oct and early Nov before election day, and the news coming from major corportions reporting that their outlook of this last quarter is adjusted downward, and the economy issues come roaring back here, to Romney's favor.
Then there are the three debates themselves, and when it comes to the foreign policy debate the willingness of the Obama administration to lie to try to coverup his failed polycies of withdrawal from the strong economic, diplomatic, and military posture of the United States in the Middle East, North Africa, and Western Asia of his four predecessors and the rise again of terrorist activity seen in the assassination of our Ambassador and his colleagues and the storming of our Embassies throughout the Muslim World that Obama just described as "BUMPS IN THE ROAD" puts Obama on the menu, as he won't have his fuzzy friends of MSNBC commentators ignoring those economic issues and foreign affairs issues asking the softball questions that he infamously got in his debates with Hillary Clinton in 2008. Showtime, folks! Starting next week!
Man am I going to have fun rubbing Grandpa Fuzz's nose in this stuff after the election...
I think I'll start now by pointing out that Grandpa is dissing a distinguished Senator who is a celelbrated war hero who won a Silver Star, a Bronze Star, and three Purple Hearts during service in Vietnam. Later he spoke out against the war (which I know is news to Fuzzie, but we lost), asking how a nation could, in good conscience, "Ask someone to be the last man to die for a mistake."
The history of Karl Rove's "Swift boating" of John Kerry during the '04 election is well documented, as is Rove's (and Dick Cheney's) lack of military service. The nickname for such individuals is "chicken hawk," because they're long on testosterone-fueled rhetoric and short on actual military experience.
Actually, Grandpa himself is pretty much a self-confessed sort himself, having spent his time in the service deciphering codes in relative comfort in Europe.
I think he's got a guilty conscience.
Kerry's time in the Senate and his longwinded style of speech and definite uneconomic expression made him a poor choice as a stand in for Romney in the debate preparations, Cab Driver. Your Kerry hero worship aside, it would have been a far better choice to have gone to the often pithy and concise battling style of Congressman Barney Frank to play the part of Romney, as he has had ample opportunity to have watch the Republican candiate in action being a represenative of one of the Southeast Massachusetts congressional districts for so many years where Romney had run for Senate and Governor and in primaries, and had been involved in many debate before, especially against the strong debater Senator Ted Kennedy.
You are an expert on long-windedness.... And I see you ducked the issue of Kerry's documented military heroism and your own chicken hawk tendencies...
Anybody want to wonder why "up is down and down is up" to our resident yayhoo, well, here's another bit of reality he's incapable of apprehending (besides poll numbers) and an obvious explanation.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/49168848/#.UGRiFEZ3xAk
The analysis by the science-policy nonprofit Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) finds that 93 percent of primetime program discussions of global warming on Fox News are inaccurate, as are 81 percent of Wall Street Journal editorials on the subject.
Well, we can either believe in a vast media conspiracy against Republicans and another conspiracy by educated scientists, or we can believe the obvious, which is their exists a pompous and deluded old fool in need of psychotropic medication.
What exactly does Kerry's brief military service in Vietnam (he never finished a full tour, you know) have to do with whether he is a good choice for playing the part of Romney in debate practice to get Obama (who never served in the military himself) ready for the Oct 3rd debate, Cab Driver!
As usual, you set up a straw man argument, that has no bearing on the matter being discussed. What a loser!
Fuzzy, that's pretty rich considering you only learned about straw man arguments from me. Remember those instructions on how to build one and set fire to it? Before that you passed them off as part of your educational and scholarship prowess... You're the one who dissed Kerry in the first place. And of course the Republicans don't like to be reminded about how they characterized Kerry as a flip-flopper now that Romney has elevated the practice to an authentic art form.
And John Kerry has won how many elections in Massachusetts compared to Romney?
And Mitt-for-brains is trailing Obama by an unbelievable number in the Bay State. As Barney Frank noted, "We know Mitt better than anyone else."
Way I hear it is the reason they couldn't bet Barney Frank to do a Romney stand-in job is they couldn't get the congressman to stop laughing long enough.
Now would you rather I use arguments like this or just point out your turd tossing tendencies?
How exactly did I diss Kiss, other than saying has a poor choice to play the part of Romney in a a deabate preparation role? And I've known about strawman arguments since I was a member of my highschool debate team, which was well before you were halfway thru grammer school, Cab Driver. And I note that you skirted the question as to what exactly did Kerry's brief service in Vietnam have to do with the discussion of why or why not he was a good fit for the standin role, which was your strawman argument, totally irrelevant to the question, fool!
Ah 'Keys2Laundry,' is now going to lecture everyone on Naval service? As always 'Keys' is wrong. Kerry started his duty on the USS Gridley, a guided missile frigate, which went to the Western Pacific, it then went to New Zealand, then to Subic Bay, Phillippines, then to the Gulf of Tonkin. It was that later part that made up the part of Kerry's duty in North VietNam.
As always 'Keys,' stop trying to discuss things about which you know nothing. If you want to discuss military service, especially Naval Service then join up. Otherwise sit down and lower you voice.
O'Donnell's talented. He's got game. Coulter wants to shake him down. She's alien. She wants to lay eggs in his ear drums that will hatch into frontal lobe devouring arachnid. He shouldn't let her. He should just sidestep her. She'll spider walk away. She seems to be losing her mind or selling a book or something. She's like a goofy general. She can say anything because the folks who are goofy support her. They think Coulter is the goofiest, along with Sarah Palin, and they are correct.
One who is more articulate than I on the subject...
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/09/27/michael-tomasky-on-the-gop-s-self-delusion-syndrome.html
With Obama’s lead in several swing states becoming insurmountable, the right has begun to panic—by denying reality altogether.
That silly Taibbi Rolling Stone is also pretty diagnostic of the right's inablity to recognize cause-and-effect or take responsibility for Romney's nomination.
While the latest cnbc poll shows President Obama with a 43% to 34% advantage on issues of the economy – I think that’s a bit optimistic. Polltracker’s average of several polls showing a 46.6 to 43.5 lead on the issue is more realistic, probably tied into voters’ overall more favorable impression of Obama over Romney. As to the impact of the mid-east situation on the President’s poll numbers – could be because about 90% of American voter's rank other issues as more important.
The Consumer Confidence Index is up 9 points over last month (small sample – error probably about 4.39%. High probability that it is at least up to 65.6%) Not surprisingly, one of its components, the Expectations Index, is up too. Perhaps consumers are anticipating the benefits of the Plutocrat’s Republic of Romney era that a Republic landslide would usher in – perhaps not.
Polltracker has an interesting two year graph showing voters' views on Obama and Romney and I must admit, Romney has made gains in the past two years. Two years ago, poll averages gave him a 43.2% - now he can point to an average of 44.2%. I give him credit - he built it himself - word by word.
As you know there is a vast left wing conspiracy to promote biased polls that over sample democrats, so just for you conspiracy fans I want to direct you to Unskewedpolls.com. Yes, they will take that nasty Gallup poll of yours and re-skew it to what they claim are Rasmussen specifications. (Rasmussen wisely and roundly rejects their methodology of course.) Still, if you have been dying for "proof" that Romney really is ahead 20 points - please - click and enjoy - get that warm trickle down economics tingle you have been craving. I don't want to spoil the moment for you - enjoy - I'll post their methodology another time.
The worst part of the outlier polls that MSNBC gavitates too is not so much the over representation of Democrat Registered voters in their sampling surveys, but the factor considered of voter enthusiasm which they compound the over representation of pro Democrat voters by using 2008 (a clear outlier year for voter enthusiasm) turnout statistics as their base assumption, Adam.
As to the consumer confidence statistics of recent vintage, that may be due more to a recent uptick in home sales pricing, and the Fed inflated stock market price rise that as soon as the Central Banks stop their incessant inflationary (especially for stock and commodity future prices) printing of money and easing of the financial markets (new rounds just overnight in China, and now again in Europe to go along with what the Fed just announced last week of QE3. Meanwhile, all the fundamentals of the real economy, from the decline in expectation of the end of quarter Sep 30th GDP to an anemic 1/3 only, rising food and gas prices still that saps the consumers real pocketbook, and the continued horrendous employment picture, which looks to be extended as the future quarter's earnings estimates are being severely trimmed by pulse of the economy industrial giants like Fed Ex, Norfolk Southern, and Caterpillar, Adam (when the heavy industrials and the transportation stocks don't comfirm the overall rise in stock prices, look out below). Two more employment reports to go, and a recent Wall Street analysis that we could be looking at an eminent 10% correction to a 20% bear market in stocks over the next month or two, after we get through this brief one or two day sugar high caused by China and Europe's overnight easing. And don't get too revved up on that rising home sales prices, as we are bottoming out on foreclosures apparently, but overall home sales have actually turned downward, registering a 2.7% drop in August, also ominous, In other words, the spike in home sale prices is probably mostly due to a very vibrant upper level valued homes activity, as the investor class looks to shelter in real estate, instead of this stock market or bond market presently. Lastly, gold and silver prices are on the way up again! Ominous!
I dunno Adam, as Roger Simon showed, sometimes it's hard for folks to pick up on satire. I admit to have been unsure a number of times myself...
And Grandpa certainly missed it this time...
Cabbie,
I'm hurt - wounded to the core - that you would even suggest that I would lower myself to satirical posting. There was no need - I was bending over to tie my shoe laces and thought "what else can I do as long as I'm down here?" Gee - I'm feeling more enthusiastic about voting than I was in 2008 how about you?
Check this out for Satire! The recent Quinnipiac/CBS/NY Times poll that shows Obama up by 9 points over Romney in Florida, for example, that actually uses a projection of Democrat Party registered voter turnout that is 9% over turnout reality percentages in the watershed year of 2008, when Obama carried Florida by 53% of the vote only.
But wait, that isn't satire at all! Its actual false skewing of the polls for an advantage to Obama that just isn't there. Six other national polls show Romney up from one by 1 point, several that show a 2 to 3 point statistically insignificant lead for Obama over Romney (well within the margin of error), one that shows a 5 point (manageable at this stage of the campaign) lead for Obama, and then this one outlier flawed poll that has gotten all the liberal media attention for two days now, that has Obama up a mythical 9 to 10 points in Florida based on a totally unrealistic turn-out and voter enthusiasm projections coupled with an oversampling of Registered Democrats in their sample base. So yuk it up fools, as the joke is very much on you two, Cab Driver and Adam Selene.
A couple more economic BUMPS IN THE ROAD; Durable goods orders reported to have dropped precipitously in the this quarter now, by a terrible 13+%, to one of its lowest levels in years, led by civilian aircraft, which are down over 100%, signaling actual cancelling of prior orders besides negligible new orders. And housing sales also down 2.7% in August, the worst drop in over 9 months, This economic recovery is going to hell in a hand basket. And with the average of over 380,000 new unemployment insurance claims each month for the month of September, do not look for anything other than another bad employment report in early October, and again in early November, before the election on Nov. 6th.