To wrap up what may be considered the worst week yet on the campaign, Mitt Romney softened some of his stances at a recent Univision event. Here are some more stories we discussed at the Last Word rundown meeting today:
- Obama solidifies lead over Romney, ahead by five points: Reuters/Ipsos poll
- Romney: If my grandchildren were gay, 'I’d want them to be happy'
- Tim Pawlenty exits Romney campaign to lead bank lobbying group
- How Michigan judicial candidate got ‘The West Wing’ cast for her campaign video
- Romney rescue plan: More Mitt
- Obama talks about how Washington changes
- Republicans and the 47 percent: A case study
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I'm starting to think a dirty secret the top 1% doesn't want the American people to know, they want to take the average people out of the government monies loop so there's more for the rich guys. The funny thing these rich guys are so out of touch they don't even know the American PEOPLE can't stand them. I do a lot of traveling through the Southern Red States and all I've heard from Conservatives is they wish Romney would drop dead so Jeb bush could take his place.
All these silver spoon, trust fund babies are the same Romney, George W. and what about Rand Paul? Speaking of "Government Bullies", shameless silver spoon Rand Paul is making the rounds promoting his book. …Republicans in Congress just killed Vets jobs bill S.3457 led by Rand Paul who filibustered the legislation AND NOT ONE OF SO-CALLED tv NEWS PEOPLE CALLED HIM ON IT!
How come none of these Republican Party chicken hawks or Morning Joe cowards served in the military anyways? They're like Frenchy Romney and his 5 goofy sons.
For anyone who doesn't think the USA is front lines of a world wide Class War just listen to that secret Romney video. It sounds like Mitt the Twit would bring back slavery if he could but Chinese like working conditions and low wages are the next best thing.
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Isn't it amazing that the worst week of the campaign for Romney has him in a virtual tie with Obama, with the incumbent President at 47% and Romney at 46% support nationally, and the President losing 12 points of his former lead in support for his record of handling foreign affairs, from 52% to only 41% post the assassination of our Ambassador on what the Obama administration is finally admitting was a planned and well executed terrorist attack on our consulate on the 11th anniversary of 9/11, just as were the demonstrations that breached the walls of our embassy in Cairo were manufactured protests on that date.
Seems to me that it was Obama that blew his 5 point bump up in the polls post convention on Labor Day week.
And the current Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls are much more accurate a gauge of the lay of the land then then was the week old NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marrist poll that is a notorious outlier, with its 5% higher weighing in registered Democrats voters in its sampling base than any other national poll.
And that is not to mention anything on the continued news of 382,000 new unemployment claims for the past week just announced this AM, showing the continued trend of an economy spiraling downward. There is a long, long way to go to the 6th of November, folks, and a lot of blood to run under the bridge for Obama, as he continues to bleed support in key areas that the public is most concerned with.
Redistribution of WEALTH; ARE YOU KIDDING ME?
For the past 30 years. According to CNN, Money, (Annalyn Censky, staff reporter CNNMoney February 16, 2011) “Incomes for 90% of Americans have been stuck in neutral, and it's not just because of the Great Recession. Middle-class incomes have been stagnant for at least a generation, while the wealthiest tier has surged ahead at lighting speed.
In 1988, the income of an average American taxpayer was $33,400, adjusted for inflation. Fast forward 20 years, and not much had changed: The average income was still just $33,000 in 2008, according to IRS data.
Meanwhile, the richest 1% of Americans -- those making $380,000 or more -- have seen their incomes grow 33% over the last 20 years, leaving average Americans in the dust.”
Mitt Romney’s “REDISTRIBUTION” argument is not going to stick, because the American Middle Class are living the truth. I remember being told in my 20’s when the first IRA Products were being rolled-out out that this was going to be my ticket to wealth and prosperity when I retired. That Social Security was going to be broke and I needed to invest in an IRA. Well I did, and twice in the late 1990’s with the collapse of the NASDAQ and during the Great Recession, I lost most of the value in my IRA. I has been “virtually flat” for 30 years. My home which is my biggest investment, I bought “at a high” in the late 1980’s, it lost it’s value almost immediately in the recession of the early 1990’s and then after 20 years finally tripled in price in Southern California, only to lose 2/3 of it values in the Great Recession. My story is NOT EVEN CLOSE to being “UNIQUE”, and that is why Mitt Romney’s version of REDISTRIBUTION will not work.
We have seen American companies send American Middle Class jobs to China, Indian and other emerging markets in order to undercut salaries and environmental regulation in the United States. We have seen those PATRIOTS in Corporate American “CANNIBALIZE” the United States Economy and the American Middle Class by “EXTRACTING” our wealth to line their pockets. We have lived the decisions WALL STREET made to “STEAL” our home equity. No Mr. Romney “that dog won’t hunt”.
We have seen those “HONEST” and “BRILLIANT” CEO’s from ENRON, Global Crossing, MCI WORLDCOM, Tyco, Arthur Anderson, Lehman Bros., and Bernie Madoff, embezzle our investments and IRA’s. Mr. Romney himself ran a company that forced Companies into bankruptcy and then made the American Tax Payer pick up the tab for the Government Guaranteed Pensions, as required per the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA) and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation. Romney then pocketed that money for himself and his investors and shafted the American Tax Payer with the bill.
The American Middle Class has been screwed and we are not that stupid to fall for Mitt Romney’s team of buffoons and the GARBAGE that they are trying to FOIST upon us. Hey Mitt I know you have contempt for us, but we are not that stupid and our memories not that short…..we know who did this too us, and it was “NOT” President Obama it was you and your “ONE PERCENT” Cronies. No more LIES Buddy! We got your ticket, you morally bankrupt, freakin LIAR!
My fellow Middle Class Americans, these “JOB CREATORS and BARON’S of INDUSTRY” the 1%, they don’t’ want to pay taxes anymore. They don’t want to pay their fair share. But they certainly want to use the INRASTRUCTURE to make their fortunes don’t they? They have no problem waltzing into O’Hare, LAX, La Guardia or SFO; they have no problem hopping on the Amtrak or crossing the Golden Gate, turning on their tap and watering those beautiful manicured lawns in La Jolla with water from the Hoover Dam; they have no problem getting in their Cadillac’s and driving on the 5 freeway in Northern San Diego County. Who do they want to pay for the INFRASTRUCTURE the Middle Class and the Poor, only they pay taxes, right LEONA HELMSLY-ROMNEY! This is AVARICE plain and simple my fellow Americans….these DEAD BEAT 1%’ers need to pay their FAIR SHARE!
The Poor and the American Middle Class are already assuming the burden of protecting this Country the USA in the all volunteer Military. Ah yes, but the lives of our American Sons and Daughters are valued as much as the American Middle Class jobs Mitt Romney sent overseas, as witnessed by his neglect to even mention them in his acceptance speech.
This REDISTRIBUTION argument is BOGUS!
Gee, I really feel sorry for your plight, Cab Driver. Of course, if you hadn't of been so enamoured of anything with the word "aggressive" in it for a choice or mutual funds in the 80s and early to mid 90s, or "dot.coms", and fledgling "bio-techs" and stuck to the widows and orphans' stocks of high dividend payers like the energy conpanies and drug companies (the legal ones of course) and the standard utilities and telecomunications stocks with a health mixture of bonds you would have been able to enjoy the fruits of early retirement as I have. Your problem is you are looking for someone to blame other than your own greed, and looking for a quick buck.
The economic history of this nation turning from the manufacturing powerhouse we were in the world after World War II for a generation to a nation of shop keepers and the need to incorporate a generation of women into the work force to compete with men for the jobs of today coupled with the sky rocketing number of single wage earner households over the last decade or so, is more responsible for the loss of progress of and into the Middle Clas than any acculumulation of wealth amongst the investor and capitalist class, Cab Driver. And "pooling the resources", and taking from the well off and successful to partial out throught the mechanism of Big Government increased food stamps, welfare, and a myriad of other govenment largess is not the way to change of those circumstances other than to create more dependency on govenment, and more marginal existance levels of society, and more broken families as the most rewards go to single mothers with children under that approach.
I got that misdirected. Sorry that was meant for you YAHOO TOM! I just get used to the infamous malcontent Cab Driver from Salt Lake City stalking my every post comment with his nonsense that I assumed it was him again attempting to refute my points with pitiful liberal self pity harangues.
The problem with Rasmussen daily tracking polls is that sample size is only 500. So if they want a 95% confidence interval - they end up with an error of 4.385%. If they were to say that President Obama was at 47% they would really be saying, that based on their sample, they are 95% confident that the true population proportion for President Obama is between 42.625% and 51.375%. They don't know where in that range it may actually be - they are just 95% confident that it is in there somewhere.
Assume that everyone in the country has decided (as we have) who they are voting for - you would expect the daily polls to continue bouncing between approximately the 43% and 50% range until election even though there has been no change in anyone's opinion. Running a regression line on the daily polls might give a prediction - Rasmussen may actually do that. Now if part of the population keeps changing their minds - you add another variation that may be tough to catch unless you spend the $ and increase your sample size - allowing a smaller error.
Rasmussen and Gallup have built their reputation on the polls they administer a couple of days before election - not the polls in September. At about this time in 2008 Rasmussen had the presidential race a dead heat at about 48% - maybe they have improved their methodology - maybe not.
In about 3 weeks we can start taking the polls more seriously.
Of course, when ABC, Gallup, and Rasmussen all come up with the same numbers and 1 point spread between Obama and Romney all within a day of each other, it sure does lend support to Rasmussen's credibility, much more so than the NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marrist poll of 1,000 voters with its 5% increase in registered democrats in its sampline base than any other national poll, Adam.
47% Obama (there is that number again), 46% Romney, and 7% undecided (and there is that number again). Believe it! 5 weeks and the debate cycle to go, and Obama playing defense now for all 5 weeks, as his personal and character and reputation attacks on Romney in the Spring and Summer months will not continue as his own favor-ability and likability ratings took too great a hit for getting so far down in the gutter politics, losing any vestiges left of his Hope and Change and Transforming image he built into such a stupendous myth in 2008.
Amusing - considering your background you know that having 2 or 3 samples withing a point of each other means nothing by itself. Anyone interested enough to set up a spreadsheet simulation can watch the dancing proportions of random samples. Now averaging multiple polls, while not perfect at least gives a better idea of trends.
Real Clear Politics does just that and offers a comparison with the 2008 elections - plotting the averages over time for both elections. Today they show the average spread at 3.7%. Should be interesting to follow that over the next few weeks.
The undecided 7%? Well apparently they aren't all that undecided. Only about 30% of the 5-7% have no party "leanings" - maybe 2%. If the undecideds follow the pattern of 2008, 20% of them will just not vote. Last time the undecideds broke towards the Democrats - this year various opinion polls seem to suggest a closer split.
One finding in some polls - the measurable percentage of voters who say they plan to vote for Romney yet believe he will lose.
Nice try.
This is essentially a People's contest. On the side of the Union, it is a struggle for maintaining in the world, that form, and substance of government, whose leading object is, to elevate the condition of men -- to lift artificial weights from all shoulders -- to clear the paths of laudable pursuit for all -- to afford all, an unfettered start, and a fair chance, in the race of life.
Abraham Lincoln--July 4, 1861 Message to Congress